THE ARTIST
I guess this was inevitable once it won Best Director. This could (but only could) be the start of something we've been expecting all season - something we expected after the NYFCC but didn't then materialise - a sweep for The Artist, Slumdog Millionaire-style.
Best Director
MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS (THE ARTIST)
I thought this would go to Martin Scorsese. However, the one thing the BFCA does better than reflect the tastes of the critics' groups which have been before is predict what the Academy is likely to do. I still think Scorsese has a very strong shot at the Oscar, even if Hugo doesn't have the same chances at winning Best Picture, but Hazanavicius is now one step further ahead of him than he was this time yesterday.
Best Actor
GEORGE CLOONEY (THE DESCENDANTS)
It was looking like The Descendants would go home empty-handed, and then the BFCA did their usual thing and surprised no-one. Should another actor win the Golden Globe and/or the SAG, they'll definitely take the lead, but for now, the Oscar is Clooney's to lose.
Best Actress
VIOLA DAVIS (THE HELP)
I'm not sure how this will play out. Assuming that Michelle Williams will win her Golden Globe, it's Davis vs. Streep for the other one, and Williams is losing steam anyway. Perhaps Davis will go on to win everything, as I've always thought she would once the major competitive awards come around, but you know what they say: never bet against Meryl Streep, and this is her best shot at a third Oscar in years.
Best Supporting Actor
CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER (BEGINNERS)
This looks like an obvious attempt at establishing themselves as the best Oscar predictor out there, which isn't much of a way to act, I don't think. I'd have thought the actual critics' choice would be Albert Brooks, although Plummer has been doing equally well with the critics' groups, so perhaps this isn't so unusual.
Best Supporting Actress
OCTAVIA SPENCER (THE HELP)
In a highly competitive category, Spencer could yet win everything. In fact, I think she will.
Best Original Screenplay
WOODY ALLEN (MIDNIGHT IN PARIS)
This was always between Midnight in Paris and The Artist. They went for Allen; The Artist took home the top two. Fair enough.
Best Adapted Screenplay
STAN CHERVIN, AARON SORKIN AND STEVEN ZAILLIAN (MONEYBALL)
This surprised me, if only very mildly. I thought The Descendants would win this. But maybe the love for Sorkin and Zaillian is too big to ignore - bigger than the love for Alexander Payne.
Best Cinematography
JANUSZ KAMINSKI (WAR HORSE)
EMMANUEL LUBEZKI (THE TREE OF LIFE)
A tie! For such a large group, the BFCA have a lot of ties. At first, it was reported that War Horse had won it outright, which shocked many. Kaminski has lost out on an ASC nod, and looked to be mostly out of the Oscar race. All the same, a lesser-known cinematographer (Guillermo Navarro) has won the Oscar despite not being nominated for the ASC, and whom did he beat? Emmanuel Lubezki, considered as locked as locks can be for Children of Men. A tie here was more likely than any film other than The Tree of Life winning, for the simple reason that if War Horse had 100 votes, Tree was more likely to also have 100 than to have 99, support for it is so strong in this category.
Best Editing
KIRK BAXTER AND ANGUS WALL (THE GIRL WITH THE DRAGON TATTOO)
A shock. Are Baxter and Wall just so respected now that they can win for a film largely ignored by this group? Or is Dragon Tattoo's stock so much more valuable now that it has major guild support?
Best Art Direction
DANTE FERRETTI AND FRANCESCA LO SCHIAVO (HUGO)
There are those who would say that Harry Potter was robbed. And then there are those who would say that this was inevitable.
Best Costume Design
MARK BRIDGES (THE ARTIST)
I'm not sure how this will play out in the bigger picture; the CDG haven't nominated yet and the critics' groups are notoriously uninformed when it comes to smaller tech categories. However, The Artist hasn't lost a costume design award yet, so all is looking well for Bridges.
Best Sound
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2
Proof that poorly-informed people will vote for whatever old blockbuster for Best Sound. It doesn't deserve this award under any circumstances.
Best Visual Effects
RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
If this had gone to any other film it would have been ridiculous.
Best Make-Up
HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2
Meh. It deserves it, at least.
Best Score
LUDOVIC BOURCE (THE ARTIST)
I can't see anything else winning Original Score now.
Best Song
BRET MCKENZIE - 'LIFE'S A HAPPY SONG' (THE MUPPETS)
I love love LOVE this song!
Best Ensemble Cast
THE HELP
Duh.
Best Animated Feature
RANGO
Duh.
Best Documentary
GEORGE HARRISON: LIVING IN THE MATERIAL WORLD
They shuffled this one in at the end of Martin Scorsese' Music + Film acceptance speech. I couldn't tell you whether or not it deserves this award, but I'm quite sure it's a great doc.
Best Foreign Language Film
A SEPARATION
Thank goodness. Had this gone to The Skin I Live In (its nearest competitor), I would've vommed.
Best Young Actor / Actress
THOMAS HORN (EXTREMELY LOUD AND INCREDIBLY CLOSE)
Hold on, I just did vom. Vom vom fucking vom.
Best Action Movie
DRIVE
'Best'? Yes. 'Action Movie'? No.
Best Comedy
BRIDESMAIDS
Yeah, who didn't see this coming anyway?
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