Friday, 27 December 2013

OSCAR PREDICTIONS 8 - 3 WEEKS TO GO


Remember the days when I used to publish posts a few days after they were due to be posted? Well, those days have returned! Just 20 days to go. This is basically all that keeps me from jumping off a tall building when Christmas is over. This and the sales.

Best Picture

·          12 Years a Slave
·          American Hustle
·          Captain Phillips
·          Dallas Buyers Club
·          Gravity
·          Her
·          Inside Llewyn Davis
·          Nebraska
·          The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director
·          Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
·          Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips)
·          Spike Jonze (Her)
·          Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
·          David O. Russell (American Hustle)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
·          Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
·          Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
·          Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips)
·          Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)
·          Robert Redford (All Is Lost)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
·          Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
·          Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
·          Judi Dench (Philomena)
·          Brie Larson (Short Term 12)
·          Emma Thompson (Saving Mr. Banks)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
·          Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
·          Daniel Brühl (Rush)
·          Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
·          James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
·          Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
·          Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
·          Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
·          Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
·          Octavia Spencer (Fruitvale Station)
·          June Squibb (Nebraska)

Best Original Screenplay
·          American Hustle
·          Enough Said
·          Her
·          Inside Llewyn Davis
·          Nebraska

Best Adapted Screenplay
·          12 Years a Slave
·          Before Midnight
·          Captain Phillips
·          Short Term 12
·          The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Cinematography
·          12 Years a Slave
·          Gravity
·          Her
·          Inside Llewyn Davis
·          Nebraska

Best Editing
·          12 Years a Slave
·          American Hustle
·          Captain Phillips
·          Gravity
·          The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Production Design
·          12 Years a Slave
·          The Great Gatsby
·          Her
·          Inside Llewyn Davis
·          The Invisible Woman

Best Costume Design
·          12 Years a Slave
·          American Hustle
·          The Great Gatsby
·          The Invisible Woman
·          Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Best Sound Mixing
·          12 Years a Slave
·          All Is Lost
·          Captain Phillips
·          Gravity
·          Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Sound Editing
·          All Is Lost
·          Captain Phillips
·          Gravity
·          Lone Survivor
·          Rush

Best Visual Effects
·          Elysium
·          Gravity
·          The Lone Ranger
·          Pacific Rim
·          Star Trek Into Darkness

Best Makeup
·          Bad Grandpa
·          Dallas Buyers Club
·          The Lone Ranger

Best Original Score
·          12 Years a Slave
·          All Is Lost
·          The Book Thief
·          Gravity
·          Saving Mr. Banks

Best Original Song
·          ‘Amen’ (All Is Lost)
·          ‘Let It Go’ (Frozen)
·          ‘The Moon Song’ (Her)
·          ‘My Lord Sunshine (Sunrise)’ (12 Years a Slave)
·          ‘So You Know What It’s Like’ (Short Term 12)

Best Animated Feature
·          The Croods
·          Ernest & Celestine
·          Frozen
·          Monsters University
·          The Wind Rises

Best Documentary
·          20 Feet from Stardom
·          The Act of Killing
·          Blackfish
·          God Loves Uganda
·          Stories We Tell

Best Foreign Language Film
·          The Broken Circle Breakdown – Belgium
·          The Grandmaster – Hong Kong
·          The Great Beauty – Italy
·          The Missing Picture – Cambodia
·          Omar – Palestine

7 comments:

  1. If Nebraska could get in all of those categories, Payne could certainly push for Greengrass position or even Jonze's. After the incredible division of reception welcoming The Wolf of Wall Street, am divorced of expectations of its chances with Academy. 'Shame on you', tough, tough words. And Coens are in the play too. Shall go with - McQueen, Cuaron, Russell, Coens, Payne, for now.

    Still not counting out the David O. Russell's foursome acting noms entirely. Could still happen, never know. Academy are the strongest supporters of his work. American Hustle has a real chance in spoiling anyone's party.

    Before Midnight and Blue Jasmine are gonna knock someone out in their respective screenplay category.

    It pains me that Dod Mantle's magnificent work on Rush is completely forgotten. If there's someone who deserves more credit other than Bruhl on this film, its Dod Mantle. Its one of the best photography for me, this year. And Deakins, what to say.... Better luck next time, any time. Strangely so, my vote for Lubezki's work would go for To the Wonder. Have some reservations about digital amplification that'd like discuss sometime later. But that said, he already should have had 2 Oscars.

    Not confident in The Hunt, brother? The Grandmaster is very un-like Academy to me. But would be delighted if it makes the cut.

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    1. Confident enough in The Hunt, but also confident in those other five films. Any of the nine shortlisted films could make the cut in Foreign Language Film.

      Yes, it is disappointing to note the lack of love for Anthony Dod Mantle's work on Rush. But I think the Academy might like the film and nominate it across several categories, including Cinematography perhaps. BAFTA will also like it, I expect, and perhaps some of the guilds. But ditto your feelings about Emmanuel Lubezki. To the Wonder's cinematography is divine.

      Nebraska has been hanging on strong, and I'm with you in seeing a potential Best Director nomination for Alexander Payne. He scored one with the HFPA, which I wasn't expecting. Glad to see his film do so well, after some doubts early in the season. Same for Inside Llewyn Davis.

      Oops, I forgot Before Midnight. Yeh, that was dumb. I definitely didn't mean to do that, so I'm gonna change it. Hope you don't mind, since you've already made a comment about it! I'll replace it for Philomena.

      That whole Academy response to The Wolf of Wall Street is outrageous. Shame instead on the people who were so offended. What a disgrace. Can hardly wait to see the film!

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    2. No problem at all. And The Wolf of Wall Street is indeed the movie of the moment.

      Delete
  2. Got to see Fruitvale Station. What makes it great is the Coogler's deft direction in the last 20 mins.. 1st hr is neatly built up to the unfortunate tragedy. For a first feature, its pretty impressive.. Diaz was as good as Spencer in supporting imo. Its Spencer who gets those 2 key big scenes that you need to attract your work. Agree with your very well-written review. And the need to sentimentalize the dramatic beat and foretelling of the ominous things has become a tradition in every true story adaptation and its no different here. Even Rush had some of it.

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    Replies
    1. That's true. The final stretch of Fruitvale Station was my favourite, too. And Melonie Diaz is impressive, you're right.

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  3. If you haven't already, http://www.deadline.com/2013/12/oscars-sundance-selects-ramps-up-blue-is-the-warmest-color-stars-best-actress-bid-video/
    When BFCA can't pull up in 6 noms, there is no chance with Academy.

    Fincher Gone Girl's first look -
    http://collider.com/wp-content/uploads/gone-girl-ben-affleck-600x398.jpg

    Cumberbatch's first look in Imitation Game -
    http://braindamaged.fr/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/benedict-cumberbatch-the-imitation-game.jpg

    ReplyDelete