NBR PREDICTIONS

The big question here is whether or not the NBR's choices will correlate with NYFCC's. Their tastes tend to be a little different, principally because NBR tends to have different tastes to about every other critic group in existence. Opening the season, many of their choices tend to become quite quickly forgotten as stronger contenders emerge throughout December. Perhaps this year, NYFCC won't suffer a similar fate - it's a more reputable organisation, more prestigious, and I expect that no matter when NBR could ever announce, its choices would be just as curious and just as easily ignored as ever. All that said, they do tend to have relatively conventional taste. After the jump, my predictions...

NYFCC ANNOUNCE

Best Picture

1. THE ARTIST
2. MELANCHOLIA
3. HUGO

Best Director

1. MICHEL HAZANAVICIUS (THE ARTIST)
2. MARTIN SCORSESE (HUGO)
3. LARS VON TRIER (MELANCHOLIA)

Best Actor

1. BRAD PITT (MONEYBALL / THE TREE OF LIFE)
2. MICHAEL FASSBENDER (SHAME)
3. JEAN DUJARDIN (THE ARTIST)

Best Actress

1. MERYL STREEP (THE IRON LADY)
2. MICHELLE WILLIAMS (MY WEEK WITH MARILYN)
3. KIRSTEN DUNST (MELANCHOLIA)

Best Supporting Actor

1. ALBERT BROOKS (DRIVE)
2. CHRISTOPHER PLUMMER (BEGINNERS)
3. VIGGO MORTENSEN (A DANGEROUS METHOD)

Best Supporting Actress

1. JESSICA CHASTAIN (THE HELP / TAKE SHELTER / THE TREE OF LIFE)
2. CAREY MULLIGAN (SHAME)
3. VANESSA REDGRAVE (CORIOLANUS)

Best Screenplay
AARON SORKIN AND STEVEN ZAILLIAN (MONEYBALL)


Best Cinematography
EMMANUEL LUBEZKI (THE TREE OF LIFE)


Best Documentary
CAVE OF FORGOTTEN DREAMS


Best Foreign Language Film
A SEPARATION


Special Award
RAOUL RUIZ

NYFCC PREDICTIONS

Tomorrow, the New York Film Critics Circle announces its 2011 winners, a day later than originally planned in order to see as many of this year's contenders as possible, although not Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close. They've never rewarded one of Stephen Daldry's films before though, so this might not matter.

As the NYFCC normally announce midway through December, when awards season has been under way for two or three weeks, we normally have a better idea of how their choices might pan out. They don't tend to be as alternative as, say, NSFC; they're not as mainstream as BFCA on the other hand. After the jump, how I think it MIGHT go tomorrow...